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Afghanistan
Accord, 1988
An
outstanding event was the Geneva agreements on Afghanistan, signed on
April 14, 1988, signalling the end of the 8-year old Soviet aggression.
The Soviet Union agreed to a phased withdrawal of its forces beginning
from May 15, 1989. The US and Pakistan were also signatories to the
four pacts signed as part of the agreement.
In accordance
with the
terms of the Geneva accords, the Soviet troops
withdrew from Afghanistan territory and completed the process by
February 15, 1989. But with a three-dimensional civil war raging in the
country and the US acting in collusion with Pakistan to supply arms to
the Mujahideen, armed clashes continued for many months.
Civil
war
Afghanistan was
rocked
by a civil war after the Soviet withdrawal,
which resulted in two million casualties and virtually ruined the
economy. The period of conflict ended on April 29, 1992, when Prof
Mojadidi, a moderate, took over as provisional President. He formed an
interim Governing Council, with the clear understanding that he would
stay in power for only two months and then make way for Burhanuddin
Rabbani. The new regime prepared the way for a general election to
determine the country’s future and decide who should rule in
Kabul.
Rabbani took over the President-ship at the end of April, 1992.
On February 11,
1995,
the warring Islamic factions agreed to form a
multi-party governing council to replace the government headed by
President Burhanuddin Rabbani. Rabbani initially agreed to step down
for the council to take charge, but later refused saying that he would
step down only if the powerful new militia, the Taliban, was included
in the new council.
On October 8,
1995, the
Taliban rejected a UN plea for a limited
ceasefire and vowed to attack Kabul to oust Rabbani. The Taliban,
comprising mostly youth from Madrassas and Islamic Seminaries
controlled more than one-third of Afghanistan, including the strategic
western city of Herat not far from the Iranian border.
On February 25,
1996,
the Afghan Government offered to share power with
the opposition—the Hazb-e-Islami faction led by former Prime
Minister
Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. Two months after getting the offer, Hekmatyar
signed the agreement to restore peace. The six-point agreement called
for cessation of hostilities, establishment of an Islamic government,
setting up of a national Islamic army and formation of an interim
government to conduct elections. The factions resolved that till
elections were held, the interim government would be controlled by the
Hezb-e-Islami and President Rabbani. While Rabbani would continue to
hold the office of the President, Hekmatyar would be
Afghanistan’s
Prime Minister. It was also resolved that Hekmatyar’s faction
would
take control of Afghanistan’s Defence and Finance Ministry.
On September 26,
1996,
Taliban rebels entered Kabul and after two days
of fierce fighting the capital fell into the militia hands. Both
Hekmatyar and Rabbani fled the seat of power—enabling the
militia
to
set up a six-member interim Islamic Government. After the capital Kabul
was taken over by the Taliban, they publicly executed former President
Najibullah.
The Taliban
campaign
continued and it struggled to retain its hold on
northern Afghanistan. It captured Mazar-e-Sharif, the stronghold of
Uzbek warlord, Abdul Rashid Dostam. After a bloody battle, they were
driven out of Mazar-e-Sharif. The battles continued in other towns of
the country.
In the areas
controlled
by the Taliban, a strict Islamic code was
enforced. Women were not allowed to work and were forced to wear veils.
The men were required to keep beards. The society was pushed backwards
but there was no respite from the civil wars.
Pakistan was
constantly
accused of training mercenary groups to
destabilise the country. By 1999, it was clear that international
terrorist Osama bin Laden was in Afghanistan. The UN imposed sanctions
on the country for its refusal to hand over bin Laden. The Taliban were
accused of violating human rights and indulging in Serbian style ethnic
cleansing. As its woes multiplied, there was no foreign help coming
either, making it a forgotten country.
On November 14,
1999,
sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council on
Afghanistan’s Taliban rulers went into effect. Sanctions had
been
imposed for the country’s failure to surrender the terrorist
Osama bin
Laden, who was charged with plotting the 1998 bombing of US embassies
in Africa. The US had already imposed its own sanctions. It froze the
assets of Afghanistan’s national airline, Ariana, and banned all
investment and trade. Afghanistan was a destabilising country in the
region, but the sanctions were expected to hurt the common people.
Situation in
Afghanistan went from bad to worse in 2001. The
fundamentalist Taliban regime, after being frustrated by isolation by
the international community, decided to destroy two pre-Islamic statues
of Buddha in the country, dating back to 2nd century.
Taliban supreme
leader
Mulla Mohammad Omar had ordered the total
destruction of all statues throughout Afghanistan, in line
with a
fatwa from local Islamic clerics. The Buddha statues were the most
famous of Afghanistan’s statues and are carved into a
sandstone
mountain in central Bamiyan province.
Almost 2000 years
old,
the largest of the two, at 50 metres, was the
biggest standing Buddha in the world. The statues, the landlocked
country’s biggest tourist attraction in the 1970s, had
earlier
survived
numerous historical conquerors.
International
outcry
over the Taliban militia’s plan failed to sway the
Afghan leadership from its mission. The leader of the Taliban militia
shrugged off international condemnation of his order to destroy ancient
Buddhist statues, saying, “all we are breaking are
stones”.
In May 2001, the
Taliban issued a decree ordering all non-Muslims to
wear a yellow badge so that they can be identified. The decree was met
with a widespread international condemnation and
protests.
Collapse
of Taliban
After the
September 11
terrorist attacks on USA, Afghanistan became the
centre of attraction of the entire world. The Taliban regime was
punished by USA for harbouring Osama-bin-Laden and his terrorists with
constant bombing that ultimately led to the
Opposition
Northern
Alliance ousting the Taliban regime.
On December 7,
2001,
the Taliban finally collapsed after two months of
constant bombing by the US forces. Under a UN-sponsored agreement,
signed on December 5, 2001, an interim government was
installed to
oversea the transition of Afghanistan from a war-torn country to a
peaceful, democratic country. The agreement, signed in Bonn, Germany,
paved the way for a 29-member cabinet, headed by Hamid Karzai, a
44-year-old tribal leader from the Pashtun tribe, taking charge of the
affairs in Afghanistan.
The interim
government
was constituted for six months, before an
emergency Loya
Jirga—grand
traditional assembly
of elders—appointed an
18-month transitional government.
The Loya
Jirga, which met in
Kabul from June 10
to 16, 2002,
reappointed Hamid Karzai as head of the government. This election was
dubbed as the first free presidential election in Afghan
history.
The Afghan
government
unveiled the country’s post-Taliban draft
Constitution on November 3, 2003, laying the political foundation for
Afghanistan’s return to normalcy after decades of
war—and
aiming to
unite the diverse Afghan people under democratic principles with an
Islamic core.
The draft
Constitution,
was debated in December 2003 at a constitutional grand
council, or Loya
Jirga of 500 delegates
from around the
country.
Delegates approved the new Constitution for Afghanistan on
January 4,
2004, concluding three weeks of often-tense debate. Their decision
heralded a new era of democracy after a quarter-century of war.
Historic
Presidential Elections in 2004
On October 25,
2004,
President Hamid Karzai clinched victory in
Afghanistan’s historic Presidential poll, as his main rival
conceded
defeat even before election workers began counting the final votes.
Karzai won over 55 per cent of the vote, which virtually guaranteed him
the simple majority he needed to avoid a run off against the second
place candidate, Yunus Qanuni.
It was feared
that
Afghanistan’s first election would be bloody.
Instead, the only thing that was spilt was ink. Afghans thronged
polling booths, eager to choose their ruler for the first time in their
history. Only the decision of 14 candidates to boycott the results cast
a shadow on the event.
Despite appeals
on the
internet calling on Islamic militants to disrupt
the Afghan elections, the Taliban were the dog that did not bark. The
Taliban struck in Uruzgan province, attacking a police convoy escorting
full ballot boxes and killing three. But the convoy and its precious
cargo fought its way out.
The presence of
10,000
security personnel from several countries in
Afghanistan helped. Enormous US pressure on Islamabad to keep a lid on
the Taliban also played a crucial role. Besides, officials from 39
countries under the supervision of the UN, supervised the polls.
By first
impression of
officials, both Western and Afghan, the vote was
an overwhelming success. For Afghanistan, success is more than the key
to its very survival. Western donors and countries like India, which
have either pumped in millions of dollars or provided support in the
form of creating roads, hospitals and radio and TV stations, are ready
to pour in more money to avert a failed State located at a geographical
crossroad, bordering Kashmir, Central Asia and Pakistan.
On September 18,
2005,
Afghans chose a Legislature for the first time
in decades, embracing their newly recovered democratic rights and
braving threats of Taliban attacks to cast votes in schools, tents and
mosques. The vote was seen as the last formal step towards democracy,
on a path set out after a US-led force drove the Taliban from power in
2001.
Karzai
as President
When Karzai
emerged as
the leader of
Afghanistan in the wake of the US-led invasion and ouster of the
Taliban rulers in 2001, he was seen as having the credentials to unite
the ethnically fragmented country and to work with Western forces to
improve security.
He
was known to Western officials because he had helped to organize
opposition to the Soviet occupation in the 1980s and to the Taliban
regime in the 1990s from neighbouring Pakistan.
However,
detractors in Afghanistan and abroad berate Karzai for failing
to rein in warlords, drug trafficking and government corruption. Nor
has he had much success in combating the Taliban insurgency. Karzai
and his NATO allies have struggled to extend government control beyond
Kabul and its immediate environs. The Taliban have capitalized on
growing discontent of Afghanistan, and now control much of the
countryside while maintaining a strong presence in major cities, such
as Kandahar and Ghazni.
One of the
hallmarks of
his political style and his survival strategy
is his “big-tent” approach — an effort to
include all
the tribal
factions and political rivals in his government. Since 2005, however,
he has brought a growing
array of unsavoury characters into his “tent”
—
including powerful
regional warlords.
In what appeared to be a deal to gain
support for his
election,
Karzai allowed the return of notorious warlord Abdul Rashid Dostum to
Afghanistan from his exile in Turkey. Dostum is accused of allowing his
men to kill up to 2,000 prisoners captured during the US invasion in
2001 and then hiding evidence of the crime.
Karzai
also selected Mohammad Fahim, a former militia chief with a reputation
for human rights abuses and corruption, to be his running mate in the
presidential race, to the chagrin of many Afghans and Western officials
who had urged him to choose someone less controversial.
The
questionable associations include a member of Karzai’s own
family.
His younger brother, Ahmed Wali Karzai, an influential councilman in
their home province of Kandahar, is widely believed to be a key figure
in the illegal drug trafficking in the region though both Karzais
vehemently deny the accusations.
Elections
in 2009
On
November 1, 2009, Afghanistan's Presidential challenger, Abdullah
Abdullah, announced he
would not participate in the run-off election because his demands for
measures to prevent fraud were rejected. He stopped short of calling on
his supporters to boycott the balloting.
Abdullah made no
mention of agreeing to take part in any future unity
government with President Hamid Karzai, which the US and its
international partners believed was the best hope for curbing the
Taliban
insurgency.
In an emotional
speech,
Abdullah said he did not believe a free and
fair election was possible without changes in the leadership of the
electoral commission, which ran the fraud-marred first-round ballot on
August 20, 2009.
A run-off was
ordered
after the UN auditors threw out nearly a third of
Karzai's votes in the first round ballot, dropping him below the 50 per
cent threshold for victory in the 36-candidate field.
Afghanistan's
election
commission declared Hamid Karzai elected as
President on November 2, 2009 after it called off a run-off following
the withdrawal of his only rival, Abdullah Abdullah. With this move the
political uncertainty in Kabul came to an end.
US officials hope
to
help restore legitimacy to Karzai's government by
encouraging him to build a reform-minded government that is ethnically
representative and includes Abdullah's followers. US Secretary of State
Hillary Rodham Clinton released a statement that hinted at Abdullah's
group having some voice in the government. She praised Abdullah for
running a "dignified and constructive campaign that drew the support of
Afghan people across the nation. We hope that he will continue to stay
engaged in the national dialogue and work on behalf of the security and
prosperity of the people of Afghanistan."
Hamid Karzai was
sworn
in for a second term as Afghan President on
November 19, 2009. The 51-year-old pledged to fight corruption and
take control of his country's security before the end of his five-year
term.
His inauguration
came
against the backdrop of an ever more deadly
Taliban insurgency, doubts over his legitimacy after the tainted
election, and demands from Western donors that he address rampant
corruption and mismanagement.
The
Road Ahead
The challenges
that
Afghanistan and the US-led NATO forces are enormous. Decades
of conflict have torn Afghanistan apart and left it stricken by
poverty. And the
Taliban's resort to asymmetric warfare is extracting a heavy price in
terms of
innocent Afghan lives and on the international forces.
However, the
resources
that will come on stream in 2010 offer
a genuine opportunity to break the back of the insurgency. The extra US
troops
will encourage others to step up their efforts. And then there
is the Afghan National Army, which is set to go from 94,000 today to
1,34,000 by
the end of 2010.
Central
to a successful strategy will be the recognition that success in
Afghanistan involves
isolating the hardcore, ideologically driven, full-time Taliban
fighters from
the many Afghans who lend support to the Taliban simply to stay safe or
earn
money. To that end, the additional troops need to be used to protect
the
population and isolate the hardcore Taliban fighters.
The Afghan
government
needs to win the trust of its
people. The vast majority of Afghans say they do not want the Taliban
back. But
in the villages and valleys of rural Afghanistan, the government offers
so
little in terms of protection or basic services, and the risk of
Taliban
retribution is so great, that few are prepared actively to resist the
insurgents. To turn this round the need is to convince ordinary Afghans
that the international community will stay until the legitimate Afghan
authorities can provide security, justice and development.
Secondly,
the Afghan government needs to re-integrate those militants prepared to
pursue their goals peacefully and live within the constitutional
framework. By
stepping up international presence and military operations, the cost of
sticking with the Taliban will increase, and encourage ordinary Afghans
to turn against them.
Afghanistan also
needs
a new relationship with others in
the region. For too long the country has been a geopolitical chessboard
upon
which the struggles of others have been played out.
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