Notice Board

First  complete online coaching......

Complete Freedom from any kind of book or Magazine..

Just follow the content on this site and it will be more than sufficient to crack IAS....

IASONLINE.COM will cover the complete study materials along with the large number of test series for Physics and Geography 
along with General study. This endevour is from an ex IITian who has deep knowledge and understanding of IAS pattern for physics,Geography and GS.


Population Explosion and Food security

 

Food security can be defined as the condition in which a population has the physical, social, and economic access to safe and nutritious food over a given time period to meet dietary needs and preferences for an active life.  FAO, IFAD, and UNDP focus on food access and availability, while USAID includes food utilization as part of its definition of food security.  Other non-governmental organizations (NGOs) add the concept of biological utilization.  CCF International follows the USAID description of food security, which is defined as:

When all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life. 

 Food availability, food utilization, and food access are the principle variables that define household food security and should guide interventions:  

·        Food Availability – Sufficient quantities of appropriate, necessary types of food from domestic production, commercial imports, or donors, are consistently available to individuals, are in reasonable proximity to them, or are within their reach.

       Food Access – Individuals have adequate incomes or other resources to purchase or barter to obtain levels of appropriate food needed to maintain consumption of an adequate diet and nutritional level.

·        Food Utilization –Food is properly used; proper food processing and storage techniques are employed; adequate knowledge of nutrition and childcare techniques exists and is applied; and adequate health and sanitation services exist.

Experience indicates that a demographic transition leading to low birth and death rates takes place when an enabling environment, where children are born by choice, prevails. The major components of such an environment are now widely recognized as rising female literacy and the status of women; decreased infant and maternal mortality rates; improved health, nutrition, livelihoods, and ecological security for all; and shared decision making by couples. The world population could increase from current figures of nearly 6 billion to 10 billion by 2050 (World Bank 1992). About 97 percent of that increase will occur in developing countries. Since two-thirds of this growth is expected toTake place in cities, the urban poor will need special attention.

THE GLOBAL food security is in question today, with ever increasing food prices resulting from adverse climatic effects on agricultural production, rise in oil prices, increasing use of grains for biofuels, and almost a 50 per cent reduction in public spending on agricultural sector over the last three decades.

The environmental sustainability has also become more elusive due to rapid industrial and population growth, urbanization and with the lack of public realization about the sheer effects of environmental pollution. Asiatic countries and their economy largely depend upon agriculture. With the technological breakthrough, significant level of food grain production has been achieved and large stocks of food grains have been piled up to meet exigencies. Importantly, this large stock of food grains is being infested with insects’ and pests that have increased the cost of storage, besides deterioration in the quality of food grains. Secondly, the use of food grains for manufacturing of bio fuel to meet the energy need of industrial and transportation sector has resulted in diversion of main crop like corn, maize and beans.

Food and safe drinking water are first among the hierarchical needs of human beings. This is why Thomas Malthus, in his “Essay on the Principle of Population as It Affects the Future Improvement of Society” (1798), wrote that “the period when the number of men surpasses their means of subsistence has long since arrived.” The global population is now nearly 6 billion, yet famines of the kind Malthus predicted have been averted in recent decades, except in regions affected by ethnic or civil strife, prolonged drought, or other natural calamities. Globally, the problem of hunger is now more related to what Amartya Sen, in the paper entitled “Population and Reasoning”. Refers to as “entitlements,” not to food production lagging behind population growth.

To eliminate endemic hunger at the level of the individual, it will be necessary to pay integrated and concurrent attention to: 

  • Sensitize and mobilize public opinion through the mass media to generate appropriate political action.

  • Achieve agricultural intensification and diversification, so that the income and employment potential of small-farm agriculture is enhanced through economically and ecologically sustainable farm and off-farm enterprises.

  • Ensure access to food at affordable prices by both maintaining food security reserves and operating an efficient public distribution system.

  • Ensure universal and compulsory primary and secondary school education.

  • Develop an integrated health security system that addresses sanitation, hygiene, preventive and curative health measures, reproductive health, and access to safe and acceptable contraceptive services.

  • Initiate public action to provide: (a) protective social security, such as an employment guarantee and food for nutrition programs, for the assetless and vulnerable sections of the population, and (b) promotional social security, involving access to information, technological empowerment through training in new skills, credit, and remunerative self-employment and marketing opportunities.

  • Mobilize the voluntary and private sectors to promote literacy, ensure health security, and foster a job-led economic growth strategy.

Such a program for achieving freedom from endemic hunger will succeed only where there is public commitment to political (i.e. democracy and independent judiciary and mass media), social (such as group action), and technological empowerment of all citizens, particularly the economically and socially disadvantaged sections of the population. The early achievement of this goal will be possible if, in addition to the needed public action, the private sector enters into a social contract with the economically and socially disadvantaged sections of the population to improve the livelihood security of the poor. In recent decades, several sources have predicted a growing imbalance between our ability to produce food from diminishing land and water resources and expanding biotic and abiotic stresses. If these predictions are correct, serious famines will result if efforts in the area of population stabilization do not bear fruit.Even if food is available on the market, however, the poor will have no access to it unless they have opportunities for remunerative employment. Hence, sustainable foodProduction and consumption need integrated attention in national and international food policie

Bridging the gap between potential and actual yields with the technologies that are currently available. In most farming systems in developing countries, there is a large gap between potential and actual yields, even with currently available technologies. In India, for example, the average yield of rice from about 40 million hectares is only a little more than 2 tons per hectare. This yield can be at least doubled. Through a combination of  location-specific technologies, timely delivery of appropriate inputs, public policies in land reform, input-output pricing, and marketing, it will be possible to tap the untapped yield reservoir that exists in most farming systems.

·         Upgrading the biological potential of wasted lands. This effort is of the highest priority. Globally, more than 15 percent of good farmland is now degraded from a variety of human-induced  causes (Table 3). In the  population-rich but land hungry countries of South and Southeast Asia, nearly 20 percent of farmland remains unproductive due to a variety of causes such as salinity, alkalinity, water logging, and loss of topsoil from erosion. The Desertification Convention can provide an opportunity for launching a mass movement to protect and improve soil health.

·         Introduction of ecologically sound practices in agriculture and in capture and culture fisheries. Here, Mahatma Gandhi’s dictum, “Nature pro-vides for everybody’s need but not for everybody’s greed,” will need to be kept in view in the exploitation of land, Inland River, reservoir, and ocean resources. Programs that are environmentally destructive and socially disruptive should be avoided.

·          Promotion of group cooperation among families with smallholdings to empower them with the economic and ecological advantages of scale in farm operations. This strategy will be particularly important in water harvesting and the efficient on farm management of water, inland and coastal aquaculture, integrated pest management, and improved post harvest technology. I t will enable families to benefit from producer-oriented marketing arrangements so that a fair share of the consumer’s money goes to the producer.

·         A new trade ethic that leads the industrial nations to buy agricultural  commodities from the developing world at fair prices and on a long-term basis. Without such an ethic, several features of the recently concluded world trade agreement, under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade [GATT), particularly those involving trade-related intellectual property rights, will work against the interests of the poor. Today, industrial nations have capital and technology-driven advantages in both agriculture and industry. They also enjoy leadership in the services sector. This is why the gulf between rich and poor continues to increase year after year. Developing countries, which are predominantly agricultural in terms of economy and livelihood, should improve their agriculture and not depend on imports. Only then will rural employment and prosperity improve.

·         A “New Deal” for the self-employed through credit, technology, training, technoinfrastructure. and trade. This approach calls for public and private action that will result in harmony between public good and private profit. Non-governmental organizations and the private sector can play a pivotal role in this area.

At present, the number of people living on 1 ton of food grain per year varies from one to six. If the food is efficiently used and if health foods are encouraged, about four people can live on 1 ton of food grain per year. Therefore, to feed a population of about 10 billion-the Earth’s estimated population by 2050-we will need about 3,500 million tons of food grain. This figure includes provision for seeds and spoilage. Producing this amount should be possible if we step up research and development efforts on sustainable intensification and diversification of farming systems. Diversification of foods consumed will further improve the nutritional status of children and adults.
In the ultimate analysis, the efforts of the development community should not be merely to explore how to limit population growth or to promote food and environmental security. They should be to consider how to achieve what the Marquis de Condorcet, the French mathematician-cum-social scientist, emphasized in his paper of
1795: “Population growth can be limited if people have a duty towards those who are not yet born, that duty is not to give them existence but to give them happiness.” To make Condorcet’s aspirations come true, we need a global movement for integrated population and social development. We need a Global Trust Fund for Population and Social Development that will help all women, men, and children, wherever they are,  to meet their minimum needs of food, education, health care, employment, and housing. Only then will we witness the desired global demographic transition as well as harmony between humankind and nature. If
urgent steps are not taken to curb the unsustainable lifestyles and consumption of the world’s billion rich and to mitigate the poverty and deprivation experienced by another billion children, women, and men, we will be living in a world of social, economic, and technological apartheid far worse in
its human implications than the skin color based apartheid that has  just ended.

Traditionally the concern over food security was looked upon as a simple relationship between quantities of food produced vis-à-vis the world population. Rev Thomas Robert Malthus, way back in 1798, was one of the first people to study the relation between world population and food. According to Malthus, human population, if left unchecked, grows in geometric progression, while food supply grows only in arithmetic progression. Thus according to the Malthusian thinking, population growth will sooner or later outgrow the food supply.

To predict future availability of food it is not just enough to project population to forecast demand. One also needs to know the rate of income growth and have good estimates of evolution over time of how food expenditure changes as income rises. The modern definition of food security not only includes food availability, but also has additional elements such as economic access to food and the biological absorption of food in the body. Food security is “...when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life…”

The United Nations 2001 report indicates that the world population will grow from 7.2 billion (2015) to 9.3 billion (2050). In India, the projections indicate that population will be 1.5 billion by 2050 which will only increase the demand for an already stressed food production. The population explosion has also affected the per capita availability of agricultural area. This has far reaching impact on agricultural productivity and thus food security.

Food availability is an important component of food security. The composition of food consumption is estimated to remain unchanged and continue to depend on a relatively few number of traditional food commodities such as cereals and grains, has been stagnating over the past few years. Food availability is also dependent to a large extent on the regional flow of food supply. The global distribution of population is not even — nearly 51% of the global population is concentrated in the developing and underdeveloped countries. Unfortunately, the distributions of global food does not correspond to the global distribution of population.

Access to the available food is also an important aspect of the demand side of food availability. Accessibility to food is another term for the capacity of people to purchase the available food. It is directly dependent on the level of income and prosperity of nations. Greater food security, however, is not just about cost, choice and access to supplies; it also is about the ability to pay. Worldwide, some one billion people in 70 of the lower income countries are hungry, and the situation could grow worse in the poorest countries. Reducing poverty is a major key to food security. Today, about half the world’s population — three billion people — live in abject poverty. Roughly three-fourth of these poor people live in rural areas dependent upon agriculture. No country that has raised the majority of its people out of poverty has done so without attacking the causes of rural poverty.

Food consumption patterns constantly undergo changes, primarily driven by income levels. It is generally observed that as the per capita income increases in countries, the general food consumption pattern also undergoes a change. In low-income countries, the daily consumption of food is about 2000 calories on average, with around 70-75% of food consumed being cereals and pulses. As the per capital income rises, higher protein items such as milk, eggs and meat increasingly enter the food consumption profile. This shift also needs to be taken into account to ensure food security.

The major challenge to food security in the world is its underdeveloped agricultural sector, characterized by several environmental problems through over exploitation of natural resources like soil, water, forest, atmosphere and the genetic base, which put together has led to a fragile ecosystem. Water and air pollution due to indiscriminate use of agrochemicals such as inorganic fertilizers and pesticides, soil degradation, depletion of soil fertility and extinction of plant species are among the glaring problems that raise question about the feasibility of the technology being currently pursued to meet the challenges of current and future food demand, which are the foundations for both food security and environmental sustainability.

The constant increase in the demand of the burgeoning population for food, fodder, fuel and shelter puts a tremendous pressure on our land resources, always resulting in a continuous decline of the cultivable land area at a very fast rate. Among the different processes responsible for land degradation, erosion of soil (through water and wind) is the most destructive. Efficient land resource management needs to be given adequate attention to increase the productive capacity of land and to prevent it from deterioration.

Shifting cultivation that involves clearing a patch of forest land, cultivating it for two to three years and then abandoning it for 10-20 years to allow the natural forest to grow back and the soil to regain its fertility, helps in retaining useful trees and plant varieties. The jhum cycle, as it is called, practises conservation, taking care of the ecological balance. However, with the population pressure, communities wanting to grow more food have cleared greater chunks of forestland and returned to the fallow plots much sooner, resulting in soil degradation, fall in yield, lower returns, and reduction of green cover.

Agriculture singularly remains the dominant user of water resources and the gap between population growth and demand for water has also increased: as the world becomes richer and more industrialized, each person in it has been using more water. The measures that can be adopted for recommended production technology and crop planning is to increase water use efficiency, crop diversification, integrated watershed development, artificial recharge of ground water, etc.

Despite the fact that an extensive use of fertilizers and effective control of pests and insects through pesticides has been largely responsible for a quantum jump in agricultural production, their injudicious use has given rise to a number of environmental issues. Increased pesticide use has been seriously endangering the environmental sustainability and hence, an integrated approach to pest management is needed to make the agriculture eco-friendly. With increasing awareness on the ill effects of pesticides however, and the increasing popularity of genetically modified food, a decreasing trend in the extent of pesticide use has been gradually observed.

Genetically modified (GM) foods promise to meet the growing need of the population, which may help in improving food availability, nutritional quality and shelf life of harvested produce, and in developing plants resistant to insects, pests, disease pathogens and herbicides. However, as is true with all innovations and changes involving complex systems, there will always be trade-offs. GM crops have attracted many critics because of their potential impacts on biodiversity, toxicity to non-target organisms, cross-resistance in pests, the higher price of seeds and foods, monopoly of companies, patent and regulatory approval, and safety to consumers. The debate about its advantages and disadvantages continues.

Existence of the strains with vast genetic diversity within the same crop species provides basis for crop improvement. According to agricultural scientists at least 166 food crops have originated in India, including rice, pigeon pea, turmeric, ginger, pepper, etc. However, enormous exploitation of the forest resources for human activity has given rise to loss of valuable gene pools of different crop species including their wild relatives.

This erosion of agricultural biodiversity threatens the long-term stability and sustainability of agriculture itself in many ways. Firstly, it erodes the genetic base on which scientists depend for continuous improvement of crops. Secondly, by opting for high yield varieties, farmers become increasingly dependent on the industry dominated market and the government.

For every human being, today is a reality and tomorrow is a possibility meaning the hungry need food today and not just promises for tomorrow. To overcome this problem we have to produce more crops but produce it differently in a manner that high yields can be obtained in perpetuity without associated ecological or social form. Awareness for food security has to be spread and there is a need for greater research in the field of breeding crop varieties.

The biggest question remains to be answered is: Can we feed a growing population with biologically diverse agriculture? And can farmers achieve livelihood security through diversity? It is evident that there is great potential to increase and sustain food production through a mix of strategies to revive diversity. Hence it is not a question of ‘feeding the world’ but ‘keeping the world fed’ wherein lies true food security.